The Fed did not
change its Benchmark rate on September 2015
The Fed opted not to change its
fed fund rate on September 2015, but they still plan to raise its benchmark
interest rate in this year. They decided it due to the unemployment rate in US
which is at 5.1 %. The Fed decreased its benchmark rate in to near zero three
months after the collapse of big investment bank, Lehman Brother. The lower
rate could increase sales in automotive sector and commercial estate. As the
result of that the official unemployment rate dropped from 10 % in 2009 in to
5.1 % in august. According to moody’s the key marker of healthy unemployment
for US is below 5 % and it is expected in next several months, the unemployment
rate will move to below 5 %. The slowdown of economic growth in china is also
as the key factor to decide not to change federal fund rate.
The median projection for rates
at the end of 2015, June 2016 and June 2017 is 0.375%, 1.375 % and 2.625 %
respectively. The long term projection rate will be at 3.75 %.
For Indonesia and other ASEAN’s
country the Federal fund interest rate is having strong influence in their
currencies. Currencies may be declined when the investor pull their easy money
back because their investment is funded from debt with lower interest
rate. It has been occurred once the
Federal Reserve makes announcement about their monetary policy.
Company Analysis
SCTV was no.1 ranking in all the time 5 + demographic
Surya citra media is owned by
Elang Mahkota Technology as the largest shareholder with more than 60 % of
total share. The company’s key person is Mr. Sutanto Hartono, formerly CEO of
Microsoft Indonesia, he hold MBA degree from university of California, USA. He
has been supported by Mr Alvin widarta sariaatmadja which is as vice CEO of the
company. Mr Alvin may be a relative of CEO of Elang Mahkota Technology, Mr.
Eddy Sariaatmadja.
For president commissioner
position is filled by Mr. Raden Soeyono, vice president commissioner is Mr.
Suryani Zaini and Mr. Glenn M Surya yusuf has been appointed as independent
commissioner. Mr. Glenn is also vice president commissioner of CIMB Niaga and
non executive director of CIMB group.
Surya citra media has done a
merger with indosiar karya Mandiri, the parent company of indosiar visual
mandiri in 2013. At recent indosiar is one of company’s subsidiary.
Surya Citra Media has
subsidiaries, it consists of Screenplay production, Indosiar Visual
Mandiri(indosiar), Bangka television,Surya tri optima multikreasi, Surya Citra
Gelora and Surya Citra pesona and also surya citra televisi (SCTV). Screenplay
production is run its business in Drama series and television movie production.
Meanwhile Surya tri optima multikreasi is shaped from joint venture with
trinity optima production, a local artist management. This company operates in
artist management and entertainment sector.
In 2014, the sales growth was 9.7
% compared to sales growth in 2015. There was also a slightly improvement in
gross margin from about 62 %in to 64 %. The biggest client of the company in
2014 was wira pamungkas pariwara which contributed more than 24 % of total
revenue from advertising.
For the program material in 2014,
it consisted of 91 % local program, 3.6 % import and 11.7 % in house. According
to emtek’s annual report SCTV is no.1 ranking with 17.2 % average audience
share in all the time 5 + demographic, meanwhile indosiar achieved 11.9
audience share, it was no. 3 ranking.
In 2014, the company has expanded
its business in digital advertising technology and service at Singapore. It
acquired 50 % share of whisper media pte ltd.
The company has good liquidity;
it has a lot of cash. The company has license of broadcasting of champion
league, Europe league and others league. The bank guarantee from Citibank na
was amounting to USD 13,4 million.
Source: annual report SCMA,
Annual report EMTK . internet
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