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Wednesday, July 8, 2015

TLKM

Telkom Indonesia
In 2014 the sales growth increased slightly compared to sales in 2013, it increased 7 % up. Meanwhile the gross margin in 2014 slightly decreased at 75.2 % of total sales, the gross margin at previous year was 76 % of total sales. The key driver of revenue is from personal segment or cellular segment. The company has more than 130 million subscribers in 2013. The number is expected continue to grow in the recent year and next year. Even there was a decrease in gross margin the net income in 2014 was higher than 2013, it was 5.7 % higher. In other hand the company still has biggest market share in Indonesia in 2014.
The slowdown in economic growth may decrease its margin and its sale growth in 2014. Consumer apparently decreased spending in cellular charge as the cost of living has increased in 2014 due to the higher inflation rate in the same year.
In 2014, the company had several new agreements with companies; there were Qnet Indonesia, Thales Alenia Space France, Waskita Karya and etc.
Qnet Indonesia has been commencing the establishment of telecommunication system at under the sea. Meanwhile Thales alenia space france provided satellite service of substitution satellite system.

TLKM - In billions of rupiah
2013
2014
2015F
2016F
2017F
Revenue
82,967.0
89,696.0
95,974.7
103,652.7
111,944.9
COGS
-19,332.0
-22,288.0
-23,993.7
-25,913.2
-27,986.2
Gross Profit
63,635.0
67,408.0
71,981.0
77,739.5
83,958.7
Operating Expense
-21,859.0
-21,564.0
-23,073.5
-24,919.4
-26,912.9
Depreciation n amortization
-15,780.0
-17,131.0
-18,720.1
-19,960.1
-20,955.2
Other Income / - expense
2,657.0
1,885.0
2,017.0
2,178.3
2,352.6
Interest Expense
-1,504.0
-1,814.0
-719.3
-735.0
-660.0
Pretax Income
27,149.0
28,784.0
31,485.1
34,303.4
37,783.2
Taxes
-6,859.0
-7,338.0
-8,026.6
-8,745.1
-9,632.2
Net Income
20,290.0
21,446.0
23,458.5
25,558.3
28,151.0
Cash
14,696.0
17,672.0
21,903.9
27,106.6
29,343.0
Marketable securities
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Trade Receivable
5,126.0
5,719.0
6,119.3
6,608.9
7,137.6
Inventories
509.0
474.0
510.3
551.1
595.2
Other Current Asset
12,744.0
9,897.0
10,589.8
11,437.0
12,351.9
Total  Curr Asset
33,075.0
33,762.0
39,123.3
45,703.5
49,427.7
Net Property, Plants and equipment 
86,761.0
94,809.0
101,088.9
106,128.9
110,173.7
Other Non Curr Asset
8,115.0
12,324.0
13,186.7
14,241.6
15,380.9
Total Non Curr Asset
94,876.0
107,133.0
114,275.6
120,370.5
125,554.6
Total Asset
127,951.0
140,895.0
153,398.9
166,074.0
174,982.3
Short Term Debt
432.0
1,810.0
2,500.0
2,500.0
2,500.0
Account Payable
10,774.0
11,060.0
11,906.4
12,858.9
13,887.6
Curr Portion of Long term debt
5,093.0
5,899.0
6,000.0
6,000.0
7,000.0
Other Curr Liabilities
12138
13017
13928.19
15042.4452
16245.84082
Total Curr Liabilities
28,437.0
31,786.0
34,334.6
36,401.4
39,633.5
Long Term Debt
14,731.0
15,743.0
16,000.0
16,000.0
10,000.0
Deferred Taxes
3,004.0
2,743.0
2,743.0
2,743.0
2,743.0
Other Non Curr Liabilities
4,355.0
4,498.0
4,812.9
5,197.9
5,613.7
Total Non Curr Liabilities
22,090.0
22,984.0
23,555.9
23,940.9
18,356.7
Total Liabilities
50,527.0
54,770.0
57,890.5
60,342.3
57,990.2
Minorities
16,882.0
18,318.0
18,318.0
18,318.0
18,318.0
Common Share
5,040.0
5,040.0
5,040.0
5,040.0
5,040.0
Additional Paid Up Capital
2,323.0
2,899.0
2,899.0
2,899.0
2,899.0
Retained Earning
58,628.0
63,323.0
72,706.4
82,929.7
94,190.1
Other
-5,449.0
-3,455.0
-3,455.0
-3,455.0
-3,455.0
Share holder Equity
60,542.0
67,807.0
77,190.4
87,413.7
98,674.1
Share holder Equity & Min Interest
77,424.0
86,125.0
95,508.4
105,731.7
116,992.1
Total SE,Min Interest and Liabilities
127,951.0
140,895.0
153,398.9
166,074.0
174,982.3
Financial Ration
2013
2014
2015F
2016F
2017F
ROA
15.86
15.22
15.29
15.39
16.09
ROE
33.51
31.63
30.39
29.24
28.53
Gross Margin
76.70
75.15
75.00
75.00
75.00
Profit Margin
24.46
23.91
24.44
24.66
25.15
Current Ratio
1.16
1.06
1.14
1.26
1.25
Debt to asset
0.16
0.17
0.16
0.15
0.11
Interest Coverage
29.5
26.3
70.8
74.8
90.0
Days Payable
203
181
181
181
181
Days Inventory
10
8
8
8
8
Days Receivable
23
23
23
23
23
Free Cash Flow
12,525.0
17,259.0
20,537.7
24,127.0
EBITDA
44,433.0
47,729.0
50,924.5
54,998.5
59,398.3
Dividend Pay out
76.9
60
60
60
60




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