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Showing posts with label AKRA. Show all posts
Showing posts with label AKRA. Show all posts

Monday, October 5, 2015

AKRA

Preface
According to JISDOR (Jakarta interchange spot dollar rate), rupiah’s exchange rate to US in 2 October 2015 was at 14,709 / USD. The weakened rupiah may be occurred due to the capital outflow which is bigger than the capital inflow.
It has been occurred persistently during the year. The Fed was printing money in large amount and they implement the rate at almost zero level. It was called quantitative easing. As a result of that, people at US have been able to get loan with low interest cost compared to others and this money is used to invest in many countries. The money commonly is used to invest asset in capital market.
 Their bank regulation allowed them to borrow money for investing in stock and bonds which tend to use for speculation or short term investment. On other hand price of commodity is still not improved, the export amount was difficult to be increased. China, the biggest market for commodity
As long as the inhabitant is able to buy the basic food with suitable price and people have job with sufficient salary, the politic situation will be save.
They abandoned Gold standard for war
The central bank of US and several European countries started to left gold standard since World War I, in the era of Woodrow Wilson, the US government decided to increase money supply significantly since 1917 until 1919. The federal outlay in 1917 was USD 1,954 million which is much lower than federal outlay in 1919; it was amounting to USD 18,493 million. The France government was borrowing money from US to finance the war.
In gold standard the nation which experiences persistent trade deficit, their gold reserve is pulled a way to cover their deficit. The Gold is used to back up the currencies. Central bankers from countries usually conduct a meeting to settle the imbalance with gold. In 1914 there were more than 44 countries which were in Gold Standard.
Company Analysis
The major part of income of the company in 2014 was contributed by its trading and distributor segment which was more 90 % of its total revenue. In 2014, the sales was higher than sales in 2013. It slightly increased 0.6 % than 2013. The company was chosen as the subsidized petroleum distributor by BPH Migas in 2014 with quota amounted to 650,000 Kl.
Since 2005 government has allowed the private sector to distribute to subsidized petroleum and the company was the first private company which was elected as distributor. The subsidized products are High speed diesel and gasoline Ron 88.
The revenue in petroleum distributor segment is expected to increase in the future as the petro station to population ratio is still low in 2014. They expected to get more quotas and distribute more petroleum product.
The company has also run in basic chemical trading, it is selling  basic chemical which is used as raw material in various industry such solvent, organic and inorganic chemical. The basic chemicals are Hydrocholic achid, Soda Ash Dense, Sodium sulphate and etc.
The company has also operated in non subsidized petroleum distribution; the allocation of subsidy for petroleum was also opening new opportunity for business in petroleum trading for the company.
Integrated industrial estate
In 2014 the company started to establish integrated industrial estate in east java. It combined industrial estate with its logistic at deep seaport and energy solution. The company joined cooperation with Pelindo III to build Java Integrated industrial and port estate in Gresik – east Java. The company has acquired land with total area more than 3000 hectare.
According to its financial statement the clients which have more than 10 % of its total income are PLN and Freeport Indonesia. (source : annual report)







Thursday, March 12, 2015

AKR CORPORINDO - AKRA

Rupiah Currency shrink
Currency rate of rupiah shrank from about 12,000 / USD in to about 13,000/USD in the early of march of 2015. It is negative indicator for Indonesia as a country which still needs import to produce goods and service. As the result of that, The Loan with dollar currency of local corporate has increased significantly.

Decrease of BI rate in February 2015 and strengthen economy of US may increase demand of US currency, in other word, oversea investor sold their investment in capital market and buy dollar with rupiah in the money market.  As the result of that, rupiah slumped to usd dollar.
Export sector has not been increased yet as the shrink of commodities price. Increase in export will be expected improve rupiah currency rate to USD. If the fed raises its fund rate in second quarter of recent year, the currency rate exchange will be worst.

Key person from Central bank said that corporate in Indonesia can bear the decline of rupiah currency rate to US dollar as long as rupiah under approximately 15,000 / USD. In some interview, he said that the stress test of us currency loans of such corporations has shown that result and there is nothing to be worried. The companies would still be able to be sustained at that rate.
In conclusion, if rupiah will slump at under 15,000 / USD there may be many corporations face a possibility on bankruptcy. Especially corporation with high leverage, low margin and huge USD loan, will need to be monitor its performance. It is not only rupiah currency which shrinks; the other currencies are also hampered to US dollar such as Malaysian ringgit, rupee and etc.

Meanwhile, the stock market continues to grow in bigger size event the rupiah currency shrinks at same period. The worst case the growth of the stock market is only used for speculative investment to make profit in short time.

Social donation for Indonesia
United state has several donations to increase Indonesian’s welfare and prosperity. According to local news, millennium challenge corporation was giving social donation amounting to USD 600 million dollar for certain programs such as improve food quality, increase quality of human resource and renewable energy program.

Bank Rakyat Indonesia has been appointed to distribute the donation to suitable person who need this donation.  Many people proposed the fund and got cash to improve their quality of life.

AKR CORPORINDO

The company is operating in various businesses such as trading & distribution (gasoline and basic chemical), infrastructure for logistic, manufacturing and mining (coal).

The key driver of the revenue growth is in trading and distribution segment which is at 93 % of total revenue. In 2014 the company started new business in industrial estate segment. The company sells basic chemical and gasoline as its product in this segment.

As the government cut fuel subsidy the company will be having more opportunities to expand its business segment in gasoline station. It coincides with the infrastructure project master plan which plan to be started in the second semester of 2015.
The company has many facilities of ports, gasoline stations and industrial estate which were under construction.

In the future the company may improve its profit margin as it starts in developing industrial estate for corporate client.
The following data is taken from Reuters:

Growth Rates
Company
industry
sector
Sales (MRQ) vs Qtr. 1 Yr. Ago
3.18
-4.7
-1.48
Sales (TTM) vs TTM 1 Yr. Ago
7.5
3.97
26.57
Sales - 5 Yr. Growth Rate
18.71
17.54
12.25
EPS (MRQ) vs Qtr. 1 Yr. Ago
15.72
-415.31
-97.45
EPS (TTM) vs TTM 1 Yr. Ago
1.01
--
--
EPS - 5 Yr. Growth Rate
21.2
15.16
4.59
Capital Spending - 5 Yr. Growth Rate
-2.76
5.11
15.42
Profitability Ratios
Company
industry
sector
Gross Margin (TTM)
7.04
11.27
26.5
Gross Margin - 5 Yr. Avg.
6.38
10.24
33.07
EBITD Margin (TTM)
5.31
--
--
EBITD - 5 Yr. Avg
5.12
6.76
26.7
Operating Margin (TTM)
4.08
4.11
12.72
Operating Margin - 5 Yr. Avg.
3.85
4
19.08
Pre-Tax Margin (TTM)
3.65
4.3
12.21
Pre-Tax Margin - 5 Yr. Avg.
3.72
4.34
18.37
Net Profit Margin (TTM)
2.92
3.27
6.94
Net Profit Margin - 5 Yr. Avg.
2.95
3.16
11.12
Effective Tax Rate (TTM)
19.9
20.61
32.44
Effective Tax Rate - 5 Yr. Avg.
20.56
22.19
46.71
Efficiency
Company
industry
sector
Revenue/Employee (TTM)
9,329,595,392
4,621,805,541
3,470,274,190
Net Income/Employee (TTM)
272,563,392
134,251,436
209,270,646
Receivable Turnover (TTM)
5.21
4.64
7.75
Inventory Turnover (TTM)
13.64
8.6
11.5
Asset Turnover (TTM)
1.56
1.05
0.77