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Monday, October 12, 2015

SOBI


The company is owned by Cargill food Indonesia with more than 98 % of total shared. The company is controlled by the parent company which is located in US. The company produces starch and its derivatives such as sweeteners, syrup and starch powder. The head office is located in Pandaan city, east java.
Starch is made from cassava as the main raw material. The corporation has several factories in Java and Sumatra consists of two sweetener factory and 3 starch factories.

The company seems focus in one business segment in generating income. In 2014 there was a slightly increase of sales which rose more than 4.1 % compared to sales in 2013. In 2014 the company was able to maintain its margin at about 20%. Meanwhile, its profit margin slightly rose from 6.4 % in to 7.8%. For operating ratio, cash cycle apparently was stable.

More than 42 % of revenue in 2014 was contributed from sales at oversea. The company supplies its product to more to multinational company in 70 countries. Since it had been acquired by Cargill food Indonesia in 2011, the export is estimated to grow significantly in future.



Saturday, October 10, 2015

ESSA

Preface
The public listed companies in Indonesia are only 507 companies; the average growth of number of listed company in the last ten years is only 5.4 % a year. That means many companies in Indonesia considered to do initial public offering due to several reasons. In Indonesia it needs approximately 4-6 weeks for issuance time, meanwhile in peers it only needs average 2 weeks. On other hand the company seems afraid to pay higher tax as the disclosure of its financial information which is required by government. For example, the Wilmar group, a domestic company, despite it is listed in Singapore; it is not listed in Indonesia. 
Bond market is also facing same situation, the government bond is dominated, and its contribution is almost 54 % of total bond in the bond market. Lengthy issuance time of bond increased the cost for issuing corporate bond.  It needs more than two months to do. It is much longer compared to peers such as Singapore, Thailand and Malaysia. Big corporation in Indonesia commonly has subsidiary in abroad which is used as entity to capture fund through bond issuance.

In 7th October Indonesian government has announced the third economic stimulus to improve economic growth. Government decided to do relaxation of regulation in getting business permits and business license. Government is also giving discount of tariff in electricity and providing financial support for small medium enterprise. Few permits for investor such as use of land will be shortened in its process in getting permits.
The relaxation of regulation and discount of tariff were able to increase currency exchange rate to USD, the currency was under 14,000 / USD. The capital inflow from oversea was attracted to Indonesia again. But it is possible that the capital from foreign will be move out at the end of the year.

Surya Essa Perkasa
Surya esa perkasa has LPG offtake agreement with PERTAMINA since 2006, the company is only transmitting its LPG to Pertamina and its subsidiaries based on the agreement. Liquefied Petroleum Gas generally use as fuel for heating appliance in the kitchen, hotel, shopping center and etc. The company has LPG refinery which is used to change natural gas in to LPG. The company was the second largest LPG producer in Indonesia. The company is also producing condensate and propane.
In 2015 the company planned to build new LPG refinery valued more than IDR 1.9 trillion. In 2014, it also started to build ammonia factory valued USD 830 million to complete its expansion project. The factory is expected to be finished in 2017.

In 2014 the sales declined 5.5 % compared to sales in 2013. The weakened in economic growth may be as the key reason for the decline, energy consumption from corporate segment declined as the decrease in production capacity. Consequently, the net income in 2014 decreased more than 21 % compared to net income in 2013.
LPG segment was as the biggest contribution of total revenue in 2014. It was more than 88 % of total revenue in 2014.

ESSA is owned by Trinugraha Akraya Sejahtera as the largest share holder with 30 %, the second largest share holder is Ramaduta Teltaka.  
In non current asset there was a good will amounted to more than USD 20 million or more than 16 % of total asset in 2014. The company invested USD 31 million to acquire its subsidiary, the investment exceeded its fair value and as the result of that there was an increase in goodwill amounted to USD 23 million.



Monday, October 5, 2015

AKRA

Preface
According to JISDOR (Jakarta interchange spot dollar rate), rupiah’s exchange rate to US in 2 October 2015 was at 14,709 / USD. The weakened rupiah may be occurred due to the capital outflow which is bigger than the capital inflow.
It has been occurred persistently during the year. The Fed was printing money in large amount and they implement the rate at almost zero level. It was called quantitative easing. As a result of that, people at US have been able to get loan with low interest cost compared to others and this money is used to invest in many countries. The money commonly is used to invest asset in capital market.
 Their bank regulation allowed them to borrow money for investing in stock and bonds which tend to use for speculation or short term investment. On other hand price of commodity is still not improved, the export amount was difficult to be increased. China, the biggest market for commodity
As long as the inhabitant is able to buy the basic food with suitable price and people have job with sufficient salary, the politic situation will be save.
They abandoned Gold standard for war
The central bank of US and several European countries started to left gold standard since World War I, in the era of Woodrow Wilson, the US government decided to increase money supply significantly since 1917 until 1919. The federal outlay in 1917 was USD 1,954 million which is much lower than federal outlay in 1919; it was amounting to USD 18,493 million. The France government was borrowing money from US to finance the war.
In gold standard the nation which experiences persistent trade deficit, their gold reserve is pulled a way to cover their deficit. The Gold is used to back up the currencies. Central bankers from countries usually conduct a meeting to settle the imbalance with gold. In 1914 there were more than 44 countries which were in Gold Standard.
Company Analysis
The major part of income of the company in 2014 was contributed by its trading and distributor segment which was more 90 % of its total revenue. In 2014, the sales was higher than sales in 2013. It slightly increased 0.6 % than 2013. The company was chosen as the subsidized petroleum distributor by BPH Migas in 2014 with quota amounted to 650,000 Kl.
Since 2005 government has allowed the private sector to distribute to subsidized petroleum and the company was the first private company which was elected as distributor. The subsidized products are High speed diesel and gasoline Ron 88.
The revenue in petroleum distributor segment is expected to increase in the future as the petro station to population ratio is still low in 2014. They expected to get more quotas and distribute more petroleum product.
The company has also run in basic chemical trading, it is selling  basic chemical which is used as raw material in various industry such solvent, organic and inorganic chemical. The basic chemicals are Hydrocholic achid, Soda Ash Dense, Sodium sulphate and etc.
The company has also operated in non subsidized petroleum distribution; the allocation of subsidy for petroleum was also opening new opportunity for business in petroleum trading for the company.
Integrated industrial estate
In 2014 the company started to establish integrated industrial estate in east java. It combined industrial estate with its logistic at deep seaport and energy solution. The company joined cooperation with Pelindo III to build Java Integrated industrial and port estate in Gresik – east Java. The company has acquired land with total area more than 3000 hectare.
According to its financial statement the clients which have more than 10 % of its total income are PLN and Freeport Indonesia. (source : annual report)







Saturday, October 3, 2015

SKLT

Digital currency revolution


Digital currency is being considered by people of whole the world for its new currency in transaction. Smartphone technology made digital currency as a choice in payment of their daily transaction. According to wall street journal the daily usage of digital currency of global in 2014 is USD 50 million a day. It is much smaller that the usage of Visa and master card which are amounting to USD 32 billion a day.


There are over than 2 billions of people at whole world which is called as unbanked people. And the developer of digital currency is set them as their target for digital currency product.


One of famous digital currency product is bit coin. Its system was established by satoshi nakamura three months after the financial crisis in US, in September 2008.  Mr satoshi took the momentum of crisis to launch bit coin.


Despite it could reduce cost of transaction, Bit coin still has flaws, it is vulnerable for money laundering and its price is also unstable.  Its currency iteration could change about more than 10 percent weekly. (source: wsj & internet)

Company analysis


The company exports its product to foreign countries such as US, Japan, Europe and etc. Its premium brand of product was called FINNA. But sales from domestic is still dominated its total income. The company has integrated business in food segment; its subsidiaries, Mitra Boga Sukses Abadi and Abadi Java food are operating in restaurant segment. For distribution, another subsidiary, Pangan Citra rasa Nusantara handle distributes the product across Indonesia. 


Surabaya is apparently a sea industry cluster, it is located near the sea and there are many industries either mass industries or home industries which are processing fish, shrimp, seaweed and etc both from fisheries segment and inland water.


Based on its financial statement revenue from local segment was more than 83 % of total revenue. The remained revenue was from oversea which was at 16 % of total revenue. Based on its products segment, the merchandise good segment was dominated which was 45.5% of total revenue of 2014. The second was cracker with 35.1 % of total revenue.


Based on euromonitor the food canned is expected having high growth in between 2013-2017. Its CAGR projection was more than 15 %. The company may start to increase its food canned or preserved food product to capture the demand in the market.


The sales growth of 2014 was more than 20 % compared to sales in 2013. The growth in 2014 was lower than sales growth in 2013 which was more than 40 %. It had occurred due to slowdown of economic growth in Indonesia. Among the people decreased their expenditure in 2014 due to higher cost of living and higher US dollar value to rupiah. Some company which depends on imported raw material has started to collapse and it has laid off employee.


According to the financial report of 2014, the largest share holder was Omnistar Inv H Ltd which has 26.78 % share. The second was PT Alamiah Sari with 26.16 % share.


Finally, the company is expected experiencing significant growth in next five years due its position as market leader of food of marine manufacturing industry in east java.