As the economic growth of Indonesia
in 2013 which is below its growth in 2012, the cement consumption of Indonesia will
increase slightly. Based on simple statistic the increase of cement consumption
has strong correlation with economic growth.
The industry of cement and non metalic sector has average increase at 12 % in 2006 - 2010.
The industry of cement and non metalic sector has average increase at 12 % in 2006 - 2010.
With simple moving average method, we could calculate, the
growth of domestic consumption in 2013 is at 7.8 % compared to 2012 by using
data of cement consumption in 2008-2012.
In 2012 the domestic cement
consumption is 55 million tons; it increases 14 % higher than consumption in
2011 which was 48 million tons.
Within stable condition and strong domestic consumption the
cement consumption is expected increase in the future. The challenge is rupiah currency, it can
stumble cement consumption.
Several projects that I think affect it are toll projects.
The demand is high based on Master Plan for acceleration and expansion of Indonesian
economic development (MP3EI) through 2014 which the 19 % total investment is in
infrastructure project.
The several strategic projects which held by government are Trans
java connecting Jakarta – Surabaya, Trans Sumatra and trans Sulawesi. The total
length of the toll road projects is 3670 KM.
Compared to other countries in Asia such as china, Indonesia
is slow.
